Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast



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NWS Memphis Weather Forecast Office

NWS Memphis - Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast
County Warning Area [CWA]: MEG
Regional NWS Weather Office: Memphis, TN

917
FNUS54 KMEG 122000
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
300 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers will move into the region early Monday morning. A better
chance of wetting rainfall and thunderstorms will move into the region Monday
evening into Tuesday morning as a convective system moves in from the west. Scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms will persist on Tuesday as an upper level
system moves across the region. A brief dry period is expected on Wednesday before
more rain moves in as another low pressure system moves across the Mid-South.


ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-130915-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
300 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           60           80           80
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.02         0.13         0.18         0.20
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            3            7            6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      62 (+3)      75 (-8)      64           77
RH % (24h trend)      92 (+12)     65 (+28)     100          59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE 6-10 G20               SW 5-9
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 4-8        S 9-13 G22   S 7-11 G18   W 8-12 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2500                      3500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2700                      3800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  8                      W  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 18                      W 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6400                      7700
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              66                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  8                      NW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 18                      NW 14
Dispersion Index      15           37           22           40
LAL                   2            3            4            4
LASI/Haines Index     4            3            3            3
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-130915-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
300 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     40           60           80           70
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.05         0.18         0.28         0.07
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            3            7            5
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      63 (-1)      77 (-5)      64           78
RH % (24h trend)      97 (+10)     69 (+25)     100          60
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE 6-10 G17               SW 5-9
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 4-8        S 7-11 G18   S 6-10       W 8-12 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  800                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2700                      4200
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  900                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2900                      4400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  7                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 16                      W 18
Vent Index (m2/s)                  6300                      10400
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              67                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  8                     W  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 18                     W 14
Dispersion Index      15           36           18           48
LAL                   2            3            4            3
LASI/Haines Index     4            3            4            3
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly
cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-130915-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
300 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           50           70           90
Precip Type           None         Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.13         0.39
Precip Duration (hrs)              2            5            7
Precip Begin                       6 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+7)      75 (-6)      63           77
RH % (24h trend)      89 (-3)      67 (+32)     100          64
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 S 5-9 G18                 S 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 3-7       S 9-13 G21   S 7-11 G17   SW 7-11 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2100                      2900
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2500                      3300
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  9                      W  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 20                      W 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  7200                      7000
Category Day                       3                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               S  9                      SW  5
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               S 21                      SW 12
Dispersion Index      9            40           19           32
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI/Haines Index     5            3            3            3
Stability Class       E            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly
cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-130915-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
300 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     30           50           70           90
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.01         0.07         0.25         0.29
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            2            8            7
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      59 (+4)      75 (-7)      63           78
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+4)      67 (+28)     100          64
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE 5-9 G17                S 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    SE 3-7       S 8-12 G20   S 7-11       SW 8-12 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       900
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2300                      3000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1000
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2700                      3400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  9                      W  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 20                      W 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  7200                      8000
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              65                        73
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  9                     SW  6
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 21                     SW 14
Dispersion Index      9            41           24           42
LAL                   2            3            3            4
LASI/Haines Index     4            3            3            3
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-130915-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
300 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           60           70           60
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.13         0.13         0.34         0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 2            4            8            6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      61 (-1)      76 (-5)      64           80
RH % (24h trend)      98 (+7)      71 (+23)     100          59
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE 7-11 G18               SW 6-10 G17
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 4-8        S 7-11 G18   S 7-11 G17   W 9-13 G22
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  700                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 2400                      4000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  800                       1300
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2600                      4200
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  7                      W  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 15                      W 20
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5600                      11700
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              68                        74
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE  9                     W  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 21                     W 15
Dispersion Index      12           35           15           51
LAL                   2            3            3            3
LASI/Haines Index     4            3            4            3
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            1            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 67 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-130915-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
300 PM CDT Sun May 12 2024

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     50           60           70           80
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.08         0.16         0.31         0.19
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            4            5            7
Precip Begin          11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   6 PM
Temp (24h trend)      60 (+2)      74 (-7)      63           81
RH % (24h trend)      97 (+2)      68 (+27)     100          58
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 SE 6-10 G19               S 6-10
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    S 2-6        SE 8-12 G21  S 6-10       SW 8-12 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  600                       1100
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1900                      3600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  700                       1200
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 2300                      4000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                S  8                      W  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 17                      W 20
Vent Index (m2/s)                  5600                      10800
Category Day                       3                         4
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              66                        72
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SE 10                     SW  7
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SE 22                     SW 16
Dispersion Index      9            44           17           49
LAL                   1            3            3            3
LASI/Haines Index     4            3            3            3
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            2            2            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Partly
sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

AC3

Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast from: NOAA-NWS