021
FXUS64 KMEG 210512
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1112 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 838 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024

High pressure is building across the Lower MS Valley this evening
along with a dry and cool airmass. Areas across West TN and north
MS where surface winds have managed to decouple have seen temps
drop quickly into the upper 30s. Nudged lows down a bit across
eastern sections as a result. Otrw forecast on track.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 255 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024

Dry weather and below normal temperatures will continue across the
Mid-South for the next few days. Temperatures near or below freezing
are expected both Friday and Saturday mornings for areas of west
Tennessee and north Mississippi. Warmer weather will return to the
region by Sunday with rain showers expected for late Sunday night
through Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Tuesday)
Issued at 255 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024

Skies remain mostly sunny across the Mid-South this afternoon with
temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s. High pressure is
currently centered over west Texas.

This surface high will slowly move east tonight with dry weather
and below normal temperatures continuing across the region. Lows
Thursday morning will be in the upper 30s to around 40 degrees.
Another cold front will drop south across the region on Thursday
bringing even cooler air behind it. Highs on Thursday will be in
the upper 40s to upper 50s.

Dry weather and below normal temperatures will continue for
Thursday night through Saturday. Some locations across portions
of west Tennessee and north Mississippi will see temperatures at
or below freezing for both Friday and Saturday morning.

By Sunday, high pressure will be east of the region allowing winds
to become southerly which will bring milder air back into the
region. Temperatures will return back to above normal readings for
Sunday and will remain there for Monday and Tuesday.

A cold front will move into western Arkansas on Monday and
eventually reach northeast Arkansas on Tuesday. Rain showers are
expected to form ahead of the front and could reach portions of
the Mid-South as early as late Sunday night. Rain showers should
increase in coverage across the region by Monday night with wet
weather continuing on Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1108 PM CST Wed Nov 20 2024

Skies remain clear behind a reinforcing cold front and thus VFR
conditions will continue to prevail. Main impact this TAF period
is gusty northwest winds up to 25 kts during the daylight hours on
Thursday. Winds should remain elevated around 10 kts overnight.

CAD

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...SJM
AVIATION...CAD