Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast



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NWS Memphis Weather Forecast Office

NWS Memphis - Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast
County Warning Area [CWA]: MEG
Regional NWS Weather Office: Memphis, TN

603
FNUS54 KMEG 042058
FWFMEG

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth
National Weather Service Memphis TN
258 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

.DISCUSSION...

No fire weather concerns for the foreseeable future. Multiple
rounds of showers are expected over the next few days, with minRH
values remaining above 40%.

ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-051015-
Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett-
258 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           0
Precip Chance (%)     20           50           40           50
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Precip Amount         0.01         0.07         0.04         0.02
Precip Duration (hrs) 0            2            2            2
Precip Begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      44 (0)       65 (+13)     55           75
RH % (24h trend)      98 (-1)      80 (+8)      100          70
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 NE  5                     SW 12 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  6        S  6         S  9 G20     W 12 G20
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  300                       500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1000                      1500
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  400                       500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1200                      1800
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     W  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 10                     W 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2000                      3500
Category Day                       2                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              60                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  5                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 11                     SW 17
Dispersion Index      14           11           17           31
Stability Class       D            C            D            D
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain rain showers and snow showers.
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain rain showers and snow showers. Mostly
cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-051015-
Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis-
258 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           20           0
Precip Chance (%)     20           50           20           30
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Precip Amount         0.01         0.10         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0            2            1            1
Precip Begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   12 PM
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   6 AM         Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      49 (-4)      70 (+11)     60           76
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      82 (+8)      100          69
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW 11 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  4        S  6         S  8 G20     SW  9 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  300                       500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1000                      1800
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  400                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1300                      2000
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 21
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2000                      5400
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              67                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  6                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 13                     SW 24
Dispersion Index      12           10           17           41
Stability Class       D            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 50s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
72 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
68 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Cloudy. Lows in the upper
30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid
40s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-051015-
Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley-
258 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           20
Precip Chance (%)     20           70           60           70
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Precip Amount         0.01         0.16         0.09         0.08
Precip Duration (hrs) 0            4            2            6
Precip Begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      45 (-2)      66 (+11)     56           73
RH % (24h trend)      98 (0)       78 (+13)     100          72
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 E  4                      SW 10 G19
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    NE  4        S  5         S  8 G17     SW  9 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  200                       300
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 600                       1000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  300                       400
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1000                      1400
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  4                     SW  7
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  8                     SW 15
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1200                      2800
Category Day                       1                         2
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              63                        66
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     SW  8
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 16                     SW 18
Dispersion Index      13           8            27           32
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 40s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
mid 40s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-051015-
Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson-
Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton-
258 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           20           0
Precip Chance (%)     20           70           30           50
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Precip Amount         0.00         0.18         0.03         0.01
Precip Duration (hrs) 0            4            2            2
Precip Begin          4 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      48 (-7)      69 (+7)      60           74
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+1)     79 (+13)     100          69
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW 11 G20
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  6        S  8 G19     SW  9 G19
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  200                       400
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 700                       1300
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  300                       500
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1100                      1700
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW  9
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 20
Vent Index (m2/s)                  1500                      4500
Category Day                       1                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              67                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  8                     SW 11
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 18                     SW 25
Dispersion Index      8            10           24           38
Stability Class       D            C            D            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 40s. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
60 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the
upper 40s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-051015-
Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha-
258 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           0            0
Precip Chance (%)     20           50           10           20
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        None         Showers
Precip Amount         0.01         0.25         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 0            2                         1
Precip Begin          1 AM         Continuing                12 PM
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-5)      73 (+6)      63           78
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+2)     76 (-3)      99           64
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW 11 G21
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  7        S  8 G20     SW 10 G21
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  300                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 1100                      2000
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  400                       700
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1300                      2200
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW 10
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 22
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2000                      7000
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 17                     SW 22
Dispersion Index      6            12           18           43
Stability Class       D            C            E            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            2            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
70 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
lower 40s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 62 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs around
50. Minimum RH 54 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
upper 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs around 50.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-051015-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-
Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union-
258 PM CST Tue Feb 4 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            50           20           0
Precip Chance (%)     20           70           20           30
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Tstms        Showers
Precip Amount         0.02         0.44         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration (hrs) 1            6            1            2
Precip Begin          9 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Temp (24h trend)      53 (-3)      72 (+2)      59           77
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+3)     75 (+1)      100          62
AM Wind 20ft (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   SW  9 G18
PM Wind 20ft (mph)    Lgt/Var      SW  6        S  6 G17     SW  9 G18
Mixing Hgt(m-agl)                  300                       500
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl)                 900                       1600
Mixing Hgt(m-msl)                  400                       600
Mixing Hgt(ft-msl)                 1400                      2100
Transport Wnd (m/s)                SW  5                     SW  8
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW 17
Vent Index (m2/s)                  2000                      4800
Category Day                       2                         3
500m Mix Hgt Temp (F)              69                        67
500m Tspt Wind (m/s)               SW  7                     SW 10
500m Tspt Wind (mph)               SW 16                     SW 23
Dispersion Index      5            13           22           39
Stability Class       D            C            F            C
Stagnation Index      3            3            3            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the
mid 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
66 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in
the mid 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny. Highs in the
lower 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows around
40. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

Mid-South Fire Weather Forecast from: NOAA-NWS